In this podcast [32 min], Insightview interviewed Camilla Noerup Soerensen, an Associate Professor at the Institute for Strategy and War Studies at the Royal Danish Defence College in Copenhagen. This is a follow-up to what has happened with the world order since Insightview talked with Camilla in April, shortly after Russia invaded Ukraine. [language: English.]
The world has changed radically after the EU countries completely underestimated President Putin's military ambitions regarding recreating the former Soviet Union. Western democracies no longer have the time to moralise other countries. Now, the main focus is to secure their energy supply. Former Chancellor Merkel's naive foreign policy and energy policy have been replaced by "realpolitik".
However, naivety has not disappeared. The EU does not understand that it is in an undeclared war with Russia. Therefore, the EU does not have the freedom or the time to pursue an energy policy based on the green transition only. The EU has an acute energy supply problem, which could plunge the union into a deep recession unless the role of fossil fuels remains part of the plan for a long time.
The collapse of the old world order means that the EU, in particular, and the United States are forced to re-establish the relationship with commodity-producing authoritarian regimes that Brussels and Berlin disliked before Russia invaded Ukraine. Camillia believes that the "West's world order" is over. Insightview asks Camilla if the West's next confrontation could turn out to be with China. [Read also the article, Joe Biden seeks reset on Saudi Arabia as oil tensions flare.]
Camilla was recently tasked by the Danish government to write the background report on current security developments and trends in Asia and implications hereof for Danish security and defence policy ahead of the debate and negotiations leading up to the next Danish defence agreement. Camilla is a frequent foreign policy commentator in Danish media.
Music: Melodyloops, 'Technology Park' – by MediaM