Articles

China's July trade data show a country winning the world by exporting domestic excess capacity, but unable to fix its own living room

Behind Germany's headline order jump sits a capital-hungry AI and defence buildout

America's factories are booming, but only where AI touches them: The Fed's excuse not to raise rates in September is running out

The price of the rescue: Why the yen intervention was never a favour: The bill lands in the US and European bond markets

Why 1.5% growth masks a hotter, stickier US economy: Phase One and Two still prevail

Two Speeds Eurozone: Spain's Bet, Germany's Bill. Europe's Demographic Cushion Is Borrowed Time

Japan has every reason to hike. Takaichi's fiscal ambitions are colliding with the BoJ's credibility

Ambiguous German IFO Survey Reflects Secular Headwinds and Difficulties in Harnessing Tailwinds

The AI tax windfall Washington shouldn't bank on: What Yale's AI tax model leaves out

Yale’s Budget Lab has put a number on America’s AI tax windfall: up to $216bn by 2030. It is careful, transparent work. But the model was built to answer one question (how much tax does AI growth bring in?) and never asks the one investors need answered: what happens if that growth cannot sustain itself?

Andy Burnham inherits two straitjackets and a plan for only one. Who is next in line to become Prime Minister?

Strong data, weak strategy: Is the US sleepwalking into China's commoditisation playbook?

What China's Trade Data Really Signals. Chinese 'AI commodisation' gains momentum

France's far-right moment meets its fiscal ceiling: Marine Le Pen's options are limited without 'EU protection'

Why AI's second phase won't be gentle. Inside AI's messy second phase [updated]

US growth is still AI-fuelled. The three-phase AI economy, and why markets only want to focus on one of them

Reform, without a face to sell it. Germany moves at coalition speed. AfD moves at Erfurt speed

Is Artificial Intelligence Walking Into the Swamp? The Midterm Wildcard Nobody Is Pricing In

Germany's slow-motion crisis continues: Berlin's paralysis is AfD's opportunity

EU Survey: Easing inflation expectations conceal a structural surge in capital demand that a Ukraine-Russia peace would only amplify

The Reform Dividend continues: Sweden's Structural Edge in a Turbulent World

The Price of Intelligence: AI's Inflationary Consequences Are No Longer Theoretical

The AI Economy's Reckoning: Costs, China and the Ballot Box. Too Much Capital, Too Little Runway

German Reforms, British Succession: Why Europe's Bond Market Must Now Watch Both Flanks

The Strong Man Without a Moustache - and the One With. Trust Has Left the Building - Only the Untested Remain Popular

Video: From Investment Boom to Deflation Risk. The Three Stages of the AI Economy

No Exit: The Federal Reserve in the Age of AI Inflation

'Good Enough'. How China's AI Strategy Could Rewrite the Global Price Story - in the Short and Long Run

The Art of the Deal, Or the Price of Peace? The Hidden Arithmetic Behind the Iran Deal

The Bill Is Arriving: Investment Booms, Real Yields and an AI Price War Ahead of Schedule

The long read: Three Phases of Artificial Intelligence. Why the Road to Deflation Runs Through Inflation First. The Risk from Phase Two

China's Trade Machine: Built for a World That Keeps Getting More Hostile. Is the Services Balance the Next Frontier?

The US Jobs Report Was a Sideshow: Here Is the Real Inflation Story. Investment Booms, Defence Spending, Demographics and AI Friction

From Debt Brake to Reform Gap: Germany's Paradox of 2026

The Fed's impossible position: War inflation, an AI boom and a kamikaze president

Cheap yen, expensive complacency: What euro-yen is really telling investors

Europe's four-front battle for digital sovereignty: Europe must build, not just forbid, its digital future

Interactive presentation: AI breaks the ceteris paribus assumption

The right industrial kit: How Sweden turned Europe's headwinds into tailwinds

Who pays for America's AI boom? Concentrated gains, distributed pain

Has the Train Left the Station Without Europe? Demographics Are No Excuse (Include interactive video)

Weak IFO Survey Shows Berlin Losing Its Grip as AfD Surges Ahead

There will be no update on Monday, 25 May, a public holiday in Denmark

The price of capital is rising, but Europe is still far behind

Ahead of the curve: what Japan got right - and what it means for Western bond markets

Self-inflicted: How Trump's Iran gamble is undermining his own economic programme. Higher bond yields

The surplus economy: China's export machine and Europe's moment of choice

South Korea's AI dividend dilemma, combined with the Iran Crisis, could lead to several rate hikes

There will be no update on Thursday, 14 May, a public holiday in Denmark, and on Friday, 15 May

China holds its ground: Trade, rare earths, and Taiwan at the Beijing summit

US labour market: Strong enough to worry, weak enough to stall, but no room for cuts

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